Kedah Set To Become Another Pas Stronghold


 

Kedah is set to become another PAS stronghold in the coming state elections. This means that Kelantan, Terengganu, Perlis and Kedah will all have PAS-led governments, leading to potential new dynamics in the Malaysian political landscape.
With Perikatan Nasional (PN) achieving 55.96% of the aggregate vote in federal seats in Kedah during the last general election, there are no visible factors that suggest the vote will be any different during the coming state elections. If that is the case then a PN coalition government will command a two-thirds majority in the new legislative assembly.
A turbulent 5 years in the state assembly
In 2018, Pakatan Harapan with Mukhriz Mahathir at the helm in Kedah, managed to win 18 seats in the 36-seat assembly. Umno, which had governed through the Barisan Nasional, lost 17 seats, with nine seats going to Pakatan Harapan (PH) and eight to PAS, giving them 15 seats. Umno was left with only three seats.
Mukhriz was nevertheless invited to form a government. Without any majority, the Mukhriz administration was doomed to instability from the beginning of its term in government.
The changing party affiliations within the Kedah state assembly have been primarily the result of federal events. The Sheraton Move, which brought down the PH administration in February 2020, put Mukhriz in an untenable position as menteri besar. He stayed in office with the support of assemblymen until Robert Ling, the Sidam representative, and Azman Nasrudin, the Lunas representative, crossed the floor to become independents, and later joined Bersatu.
Mukhriz resigned in May 2020, leading to PAS forming an alliance with Bersatu and Sanusi Nor becoming the new menteri besar.
The current assembly is made up of 21 PN assemblymen, where 15 are from PAS and six are from Bersatu. Umno and Pejuang have two assemblymen each and PH has 10, five of whom are from PKR, three from Amanah and two from DAP.
Ads by KioskedOne seat, Gurun, became vacant when Johari Abdul became the Dewan Rakyat speaker.
A wipeout for Umno and PH
PN is likely to win at least 26 seats in the coming state election. It will hold on to its traditional seats, wrest the two Pejuang seats – Jitra and Anak Bukit – and two Umno seats – Sungai Tiang and Guar Chempedak. Then it will depend upon how many PH seats it can win, where seats like Ayer Hangat, Kota Siputeh, Bukit Kayu Hitam, Kubang Rotan, Pengkalan Kundor, Bukit Selambau, Kulim, and Bandar Baharu will all be in play.
In the most optimistic scenario for PN, it could win 32 seats in the new assembly, leaving PH with three. If PH can hold onto the seats in play, then it can return to the assembly with around 10 members. PH should hold Suka Menanti and Kota Darul Aman, and win back Lunas and Gurun, at a minimum.
Electoral factors pertaining to Kedah
Umno’s influence in Kedah was almost wiped out in the 2018 state elections, where it lost the government and retained only three seats. Consequently, Umno should not become a major factor in the elections, unless PH chairman Anwar Ibrahim allocates Umno more than two or three seats to contest. If Umno is given three or more seats, it will most probably backfire badly on PH.
Ads by KioskedPAS has created and nurtured many communities throughout Kedah, which have their own schools, mosques, shops and businesses. These communities are closely knit and should turn out in force to vote. It is going to be much more difficult for PH and Umno to get voters to the polling booths.
The quietness surrounding the criminal charges against former prime minister Muhyiddin Yassin will put the corruption issues in the background during the election. If PH brings up the issue during campaigning, it could very likely backfire.
There are no comprehensive polling details that indicate the support for PN during the last federal election is much different from what it is now. This indicates an electoral wipeout for PH-Umno in Kedah.
The major issue that will hit the PH-Umno alliance is the failure to alleviate cost of living and income issues. There are lots of scattered pockets of poverty in Kedah, where PH may find voter backlashes out of anger that fundamental cost of living issues have not been tackled. The latest rise in interest rates by Bank Negara Malaysia will not help.
It’s very unlikely that race and religious issues will play any major role in the coming campaign. Finally, the current menteri besar, Sanusi, has been playing up the issue of Putrajaya not cooperating with Kedah. If this narrative gets through to voters during the campaign, it will go against the Anwar “persona” on the hustings.
Implications on national political dynamics
Ads by KioskedWith PAS in control of five northern states covering the bulk of the Malay heartlands as a block, these states can become much more assertive in federal-state relations. If state menteris besar cooperate en bloc, they will be able to extract many concessions from the federal government. We will also see Anwar’s administration swing around to being much more Malay-centric after the coming state elections.
The coming state elections are very important towards building a new powerbase for PAS to make demands upon the federal government, similar to the way Islamists have gained concessions from the central government in Indonesia over the last decade. This is something the new generation of PAS leaders will use as leverage. - FMT
The views expressed are those of the writer and do not necessarily reflect those of MMKtT.


Artikel ini hanyalah simpanan cache dari url asal penulis yang berkebarangkalian sudah terlalu lama atau sudah dibuang :

http://malaysiansmustknowthetruth.blogspot.com/2023/05/kedah-set-to-become-another-pas.html

Kempen Promosi dan Iklan
Kami memerlukan jasa baik anda untuk menyokong kempen pengiklanan dalam website kami. Serba sedikit anda telah membantu kami untuk mengekalkan servis percuma aggregating ini kepada semua.

Anda juga boleh memberikan sumbangan anda kepada kami dengan menghubungi kami di sini
Pas Led Kedah Govt Can Be Toppled In State Polls Umno Leader

Pas Led Kedah Govt Can Be Toppled In State Polls Umno Leader

papar berkaitan - pada 10/5/2023 - jumlah : 163 hits
During last year s general election Perikatan Nasional dominated Kedah winning 14 out of 15 parliamentary seats However Kedah Umno chief Mahdzir Khalid is confident that a rematch at the state level will not result in another whopping victo...
Sebelum Pas Pn Memerintah Rakyat Kedah Kena Kalih

Sebelum Pas Pn Memerintah Rakyat Kedah Kena Kalih

papar berkaitan - pada 3/5/2023 - jumlah : 220 hits
Sebelum PAS memerintah masalah air tak kritikal seperti sekarang Nampaknya Kedah telah jadikan sebagai model Penduduk Penang Selangor dan Negeri Sembilan kena ambil perhatian Perkara sama mungkin akan berlaku kepada anda Masa PRN nanti kala...
Banyak Projek Di Kedah Perlahan Terjejas Di Bawah Pas

Banyak Projek Di Kedah Perlahan Terjejas Di Bawah Pas

papar berkaitan - pada 9/5/2023 - jumlah : 156 hits
Beberapa projek pembangunan di negeri Kedah tidak diurus dengan baik sehingga menyebabkan pembangunan projek perlahan dan terjejas dakwa Ketua Pembangkang Dewan Undangan Negeri Kedah Datuk Zamri Yusuf yang dipetik berkata perkara itu berlak...
Pas Bukan Dominan Di Kedah Tak Mustahil Bertukar Tangan Kata Mahdzir

Pas Bukan Dominan Di Kedah Tak Mustahil Bertukar Tangan Kata Mahdzir

papar berkaitan - pada 10/5/2023 - jumlah : 152 hits
Mahdzir Khalid berkata PAS di Kedah bukan dominan tidak seperti negeri pantai timur yang dilihat sememangnya pro PAS PETALING JAYA Pentadbiran Kedah mampu bertukar tangan kerana PAS bukan parti dominan di negeri itu kata Mahdzir Khalid Ketu...
Pas Akan Kalah Di Kedah

Pas Akan Kalah Di Kedah

papar berkaitan - pada 10/5/2023 - jumlah : 212 hits
PETALING JAYA Pentadbiran Kedah mampu bertukar tangan kerana PAS bukan parti dominan di negeri itu kata Ketua Umno Kedah Mahdzir Khalid Beliau berkata Kedah yang pernah menjadi kubu kuat Barisan Nasional tidak boleh disamakan dengan corak s...
Pas Dengan Cita Citanya

Pas Dengan Cita Citanya

papar berkaitan - pada 7/5/2023 - jumlah : 265 hits
Mohsin AbdullahMemulakan artikel ini dengan imbau kembali penulisan saya yang disiar FMT pada 26 April bertajuk Cerita oghe Kelate Saya menulis bahawa menurut seorang rakan undi untuk PAS di Kelantan yang diperolehi daripada pengundi tradis...
Puad Mocks Gerakan Deputy Chief S Criticism Of Bersatu Pas

Puad Mocks Gerakan Deputy Chief S Criticism Of Bersatu Pas

papar berkaitan - pada 6/5/2023 - jumlah : 297 hits
Puad Zarkashi said it s disingenous of Gerakan deputy president Oh Tong Keong to question the signing of the Malay Proclamation by Bersatu and PAS leaders having known both parties ideologies PETALING JAYA An Umno leader has mocked Gerakan ...
Anwar Slams Hypocritical Criticism Over His Response To Najib S Apology

A Sucker Punch For Rm1 000 What S The Value Of Dignity In Malaysia

Makan Malam Tiga Beranak Di Adam Kitchen

Rakyat Malaysia Jadi Tentera Upahan Di Ukraine Dipercayai Masih Hidup Kpn

Tan Sri Vincent Tan Dan U Mobile

Empat Sekawan Dipenjara Tiga Tahun Culik Budak Perempuan

Pengalaman Anak Kena Prolonged Jaundice

Keluar Sekejap Kerugian Fashionvalet Kartel Nafas Rangkaian Kedua 5g Buli Upnm


echo '';
Biodata Terkini Penyanyi Illa Sabry Peserta Gegar Vaganza 2024 Musim 11 GV11

Info Dan Sinopsis Drama Berepisod Senyawa iQIYI Malaysia

Info Dan Sinopsis Drama Berepisod Project Projek Exit Astro Originals

Pelajari Asal Usul Nama Makhluk Seram Kisah Fiksyen Barat Yang Terkenal

10 Fakta Filem Kahar Kapla High Council Yang Ramai Tak Tahu Prekuel Drama Project Projek High Council


30 Lagu Bakal Berentap Dalam Muzik Muzik 39 Separuh Akhir Siapa Akan Mara Ke Ajl 39

Celebrity Legs And Feet In Tights Variety Pack 143

Cucur Sayur

Kedah Jheaik Siasat Tok Kadi Buli Pengantin

Seorang Wanita Tergamak Penggal Kepala 2 Anak

Anwar Selar Kritikan Hipokrit Atas Respons Mohon Maaf Najib