Signs Of A Change In Government In The Wind



The government could crack but no one knows how Murray Hunter
Over the last few weeks, there have been a number of negative signs for the Anwar administration. While Anwar has been fixed upon the Gaza issue, the lack of attention on pressing local issues have been counterproductive to his popularity. One only has to read comments on news portals to feel a definite change in the perception of Anwar.
Some other signs of change are discussed below:
Change of allegiance of Bersatu MPs
At the time of writing four Bersatu MPs Azizi Abu Naim (Gua Musang), Sharaili Abdul Rahman (Labuan), Zakaria Kechik (Jeli), and Iskandar Dzulkarnain Abdul Khalid (Kuala Kangsar) have pledged their parliamentary support for Anwar Ibrahim as prime minister. Reports indicate that an unnamed businessman has approached a number of MPs offering funds and projects to develop their constituencies, for a pledge of support of Anwar. The anti-hopping laws don’t cover this as the MPs have not quit their parties. The law cannot be activated by the way they vote.
The implications of these changes could mean that Anwar feels the need to shore up his support in parliament to maintain a two-thirds majority. Syed Saddiq Syed Abdul Rahman withdrew his support of the government a few months ago.
From the PAS perspective, Bersatu cannot be trusted to hold is ranks of MPs together. This could influence any strategic moves PAS may make in the future.
The sudden push to get more parliamentary support for Anwar puts into question how much support Anwar might really have on the floor of the Dewan Rakyat.
Effectively, through proxy government is being bought. This is not the first time this strategy has been tried.
An unsettled UMNO
There is a burning disenchantment with Ahmad Zahid Hamidi as leader of UMNO. Party elections for the top two posts were circumvented earlier this year. In addition, supporters for the release of former prime minister Najib Razak are very restless.
As the same time, it is rumoured 12 to 15 current UMNO (and suspended MPs) led by Hishamuddin Hussein and former prime minister Ismail Sabri Yakoob could withdrawal their support for the unity government, without quitting their party.
Sabah and Sarawak
During any period of political instability in the peninsula, the views and support from the East Malaysian parties is vital. Sarawak’s break with Anwar administration edicts on the use of Bahasa Malaysia in government, and Palestinian Solidarity Week indicate that Sarawak, in particular cannot be taken for granted.
Perception of TMJ on Anwar Administration
In a podcast hosted by Khairy Jamaluddin and former UMNO information chief Shahril Hamadan, the outspoken Johor Prince Tunku Ismail Ismail Sultan Ibrahim criticised Anwar as being an indecisive leader, who doesn’t have a good team.
Panic within Anwar’s inner circle
People around the Anwar administration are in a state of panic, and very uncertain about the future. Anwar is very much becoming the sole decision maker, often against the advice of trusted friends and advisors.
At the same time, there is a distinct change in the attitude of Anwar’s traditional support base. Those who once said, ‘give Anwar a chance’ are no longer saying that. There is an atmosphere of disappointment.
The scenarios from the rumour mill
Rumours are flying everywhere, from a Sheraton 2.0 about to happen, to a major fall of the government. Below are some of the possible scenarios that could play out in the coming months. One must understand, Anwar seizes opportunities, rather than formulates strategy. So, the way events occur over the next few months will have a great bearing upon any outcomes.
1. Anwar continues on to serve a full term in office
The most likely scenario is that the Anwar government serves a full term and goes to an election around 2026 or 2027. Anwar’s unpopularity will continue. The ‘unity government’ will exist only by name the next election comes and GE16 will be a free for all.
Rather than go for a reshuffle of a cabinet that is just not working, Anwar will micro-manage much more, where policy could become more ad hoc and inconsistent. Pakatan Harapan-Barisan Nasional have little hope of holding onto government.
2. DAP leaves the unity government
There is much disappointment within the DAP about the direction the unity government is going. Only the perks of office are keeping the party in the coalition. With 40 seats, the DAP is the second largest party in the Dewan Rakyat. If not for PKR, the DAP could have held onto more seats.
The DAP has three choices. The first is to stay where it is. Consequently, the party can focus on Penang, and stay a junior partner in the ‘unity government’. Second, the DAP could leave the ‘unity coalition’ and stay independent within the Dewan Rakyat. Thirdly, the DAP could seek to join up with a new combination of parties.
3. PN take power
Muhyiddin Yassin and Hamzah Zainuddin with their legal cases coming closer are looking to develop some sort of move that would bring them back to power. As the junior partner in PN, PAS now calls the shots. The size of Bersatu is eroding through enticements.
The only way PN could take power is through a messy realignment of parties. This could even mean that UMNO splits, DAP comes across with GPS. This currently looks too difficult. The other alternative would be to force an early general election, which might be easier to do next year. Anwar has the numbers to pass the 2024 budget at this point of time.
As mentioned earlier, the most probable outcome is a full term by the Anwar government. However, any major move to erode parliamentary support for Anwar, could warrant the calling of an early election. Its most unlikely Anwar would ever advise the Agong to call an election, because he knows he cannot win it.
The recent changes of loyal of 4 Bersatu MPs changes the game. PN, particularly Bersatu will not take these defections lying down, so retaliation is to be expected. The collateral effects of Bersatu MPs shifting allegiance will be political instability, the very thing Anwar cannot afford.
This could have been a major tactical mistake.
 


Artikel ini hanyalah simpanan cache dari url asal penulis yang berkebarangkalian sudah terlalu lama atau sudah dibuang :

https://www.malaysia-today.net/2023/11/15/signs-of-a-change-in-government-in-the-wind/

Kempen Promosi dan Iklan
Kami memerlukan jasa baik anda untuk menyokong kempen pengiklanan dalam website kami. Serba sedikit anda telah membantu kami untuk mengekalkan servis percuma aggregating ini kepada semua.

Anda juga boleh memberikan sumbangan anda kepada kami dengan menghubungi kami di sini
How To Get The Best Value From Government Expenditure

How To Get The Best Value From Government Expenditure

papar berkaitan - pada 7/11/2023 - jumlah : 159 hits
The 2024 budget contains a slew of policies covering economics labour taxation education healthcare and women empowerment among other issues So did the 2023 budget and all others that preceded it The budget gets bigger every year with no la...
Malaysia Needs To Take Gaming To The Next Level

Malaysia Needs To Take Gaming To The Next Level

papar berkaitan - pada 9/11/2023 - jumlah : 146 hits
Enthusiasts have helped to grow the gaming industry in Malaysia but more talent is needed to take it to a new level PETALING JAYA Video games once frowned upon as a time wasting activity of young people have evolved into a multi billion dol...
Adventure Time The All New Liquid Cooled Royal Enfield Himalayan

Adventure Time The All New Liquid Cooled Royal Enfield Himalayan

papar berkaitan - pada 10/11/2023 - jumlah : 357 hits
Riding a Royal Enfield in the Himalayas is a bucket list item for many motorcyclists This fact is not lost on the Indian company they ve just updated the utilitarian adventure bike with refined looks better suspension and a first ever liqui...
Affordable Elegance The Benefits Of Cabinet Refinishing

Affordable Elegance The Benefits Of Cabinet Refinishing

papar berkaitan - pada 9/11/2023 - jumlah : 90 hits
Cabinets in your kitchen represent the heart of the home Refinishing your cabinets is an excellent method of giving your kitchen a new look without having to invest an enormous amount of cash and time to do the complete overhaul In this art...
The Sniper The New Ktm 990 Duke Breaks Cover At Eicma

The Sniper The New Ktm 990 Duke Breaks Cover At Eicma

papar berkaitan - pada 10/11/2023 - jumlah : 153 hits
The massive annual motorcycle trade show is in full swing and new releases keep coming out of the woodwork This time it s the turn of the Austrian powerhouse KTM with the announcement of the new and much wilier KTM 990 Duke Following the su...
Lirik Gagal Cinta The Gadys

Lirik Gagal Cinta The Gadys

papar berkaitan - pada 10/11/2023 - jumlah : 150 hits
kata orang cinta itu indahkata orang cinta itu sucitetapi mengapakah diriku malah jadi rasakan hal yang berbedaaku malah jadi sakit hatiaku malah jadi membencikenapa ini bisa kenapa ini bisa malah terjadi padakumungkinkah aku sayang orang y...
How To Choose The Perfect Direct Fabrics For Your Home Decor

How To Choose The Perfect Direct Fabrics For Your Home Decor

papar berkaitan - pada 11/11/2023 - jumlah : 255 hits
When it comes to enhancing your living space the choice of fabrics plays a pivotal role in defining your home s aesthetic In the realm of home decor direct fabrics stands out as a go to destination The post appeared first on
Pet Expo Midvalley 2024

All Cheers For 1q 2024 Gdp Growth Of 4 2 But Sustaining That Pace Is Tricky And Highly Challenging

Speed Read Rsd S Nitrous Fueled Bmw R18 Drag Bike And More

Tajuk Utama Minggu Ini Ytl Power Euforia Gabungan Axiata Inflasi Rendah Gdp 1q Wajib

Cara Buat Kad Guru Malaysia Online Dan Cara Dapatkan Sijil Guru Malaysia

Isu Uitm Kerajaan Kena Berani

Menyamar Polis Samun Warga Asing Penjawat Awam Antara 4 Ditahan

Kenapa Bini Aku Tak Cantik



Info Dan Sinopsis Drama Berepisod Bunga Salju Slot Tiara Astro Ria

Info Dan Sinopsis Drama Berepisod Anggun Mikayla Viu Malaysia

Keputusan Markah Mingguan Senarai Lagu Tugasan The Hardest Singing Show Astro Malaysia

Biodata Syad Mutalib Pelakon Drama Berepisod Aku Bukan Ustazah TV3 Bunga Salju Astro Ria

Info Dan Sinopsis Filem Vina Sebelum 7 Hari 2024 Adaptasi Kisah Benar Kini Di Pawagam Malaysia


Jarak Antara Dua Pintu Syurga

Al Ikhsan Sports Mengumumkan Pemenang Peraduan The Ultimate Sports Experience Spend And Win

Jinda888 Website 888 Casino Online Slot888 Top 41 By Tamie Slot888 Jinda888 Bet 2 2567

Stour House By Facit Homes In London United Kingdom

10 Cara Menyambut Hari Guru Selain Memberi Hadiah

Lucy M Enggai Tundi Dek Chord