Poland Will Get A Chunk Of Ukraine

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 So many things are happening around the world at light speed. And almost ALL of them are connected. The outcome ? Looks like it will lead to a better world.
Firstly, the US and Russia are 'normalising' their diplomatic relations (again) at light speed too. The US and Russia have been meeting directly to strengthen communications between their two governments - diplomatic protocols, regular direct contacts between their presidents etc. And three days ago the following news item almost went unnoticed:
The crewed Soyuz MS-27 spacecraft is safely in orbit headed for the International Space Station following a launch at 1:47 a.m. EDT on April 8 (10:47 a.m. Baikonur time) with NASA astronaut Jonny Kim and Roscosmos cosmonauts Sergey Ryzhikov and Alexey Zubritsky aboard.
A NASA astronaut is onboard the Russian Soyuz spacecraft along with two other Russian cosmonauts on their way to the International Space Station (already docked). This is about as close a cooperation as can possibly happen between two superpowers - a joint space flight.
It was also announced that the US will be pulling out of an airfield in Poland which was the main logistics hub for US weapons going into Ukraine. This means no more US weapons for Ukraine. True enough the present American arms deliveries to Ukraine are from the last batch of weapons approved by the Biden administration. Once those batches are finished there will be no more US weapons.
Then yesterday it was also announced that the US is withdrawing 10,000 troops from eastern Europe (its NATO forces). That is a lot of American soldiers to be leaving eastern Europe - including from Romania and Poland. Romania may become famous - do read on.
As I said yesterday, the US and Russia are going to become Best Friends Forever.
The EU, Britain, France and NATO are going to eat crow. Dmitri Medvedev, the Russian Deputy Head-Of-State (I think former prime minister and president as well at one time) who is also a super-hawk has published a new map of Ukraine. Here it is:



As you can see Ukraine is shrunk to just a rump. Or stump (the black line). Romania occupies a part of Ukraine (the yellow striped area will be the new Romania). The whole of western Ukraine will be 'given' to Poland (white dotted line). 
All of eastern Ukraine, including the port of Odessa will be taken by Russia. There is some thinking behind this. There are sizeable Romanian speaking populations inside that yellow striped part of Ukraine. Likewise 'western Ukraine' - around Lviv is full of Polish speaking people. Why would the Russians give away the Polish speaking parts of Ukraine to Poland and likewise to Romania? 
Romania is already a member of NATO but Russia is not worried about Romania. But the Poles are a different bag of sausages.  The Poles have a very old hatred of Russia - just like Ukraine. And Poland is also a member of NATO. The Russians do not want a direct border with Poland. So Romania will be a buffer between them. Plus the Russians can extract a peace treaty with both Poland and Romania - including demilitarisation of these "new" areas which they will get for free. Land for peace.
Of course the EU is laughing at this map - for quite the wrong reasons. But maybe there is less laughter in Poland and Romania. Anyway lets see who has the last laugh.
In the Middle East something else has happened. Turkey and Israel have begun some direct talks. This is after Donald Trump told Netanyahu at the White House that he (Trump) and Erdogan are BFFs too.  
So Turkey is talking to Israel. Turkey can have serious problems in Syria because their former ISIS poodle Ahmed al Sharaa aka al Jolani who is the 'leader' of Syria is not fully in charge in Syria. His outfit the Hayat Tahrir al Sham (HTS) only controls Damascus and some coastal parts (Latakia). This map (from the BBC) shows the very small area controlled by the HTS. The largest part of Syria is actually controlled by the Kurds who are the enemies of Turkey but extremely very friendly with Israel.


So Israel can allow Erdogan to play the Ottoman Caliph in a small part of Syria by keeping the Kurds from attacking Turkish troops 24/7. In return Erdogan keeps the HTS inside that narrow corridor, helps to police the Shia Hezbollah outside the Golan Heights area and also keep the Ayatollahs out of Syria. Syria will be broken up forever - like Ukraine.
Erdogan will also not give any more moral or other support to Hamas. The Israelis are now chasing down the remnants of the Hamas in Gaza.  It looks like Turkey has abandoned the Hamas.

Erdogan will not last forever and after him Turkey might return to some sanity.  By that time who knows who will be in charge in Syria. Always keep in mind - this is the Middle East. Satan lives here.
Russia will be happy because they can keep their military bases in Latakia, Tartus etc.
Saudi Arabia will be happy because the Ayatollahs will be kept in check. The ayatollahs are going to get properly whacked - if not militarily they will be overthrown by the Iranian people. That problem will be solved.
The Houthis are being bombed back to the Stone Age on a daily basis. Iran has withdrawn its IRGC advisers from Yemen. The Houthis are now on their own.

Saudi Arabia will occupy pole position among the Arab countries and they will lead the Abrahamic Accords (and establish full diplomatic, military and trade relations with Israel). Israel will take over the security cover for Saudi Arabia as well as for Jordan and Egypt.
By the way all the "genuine news reports" about Egypt rearming and sending hundreds of tanks towards the Sinai border with Israel appear to be fake news coming out of Qatar.  The generals are buying weapons to earn commissions.
As the stomach churns folks. 

By Syed Akbar Ali 

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