The Great Sabotage Game In Ukraine
The Russians are being quite relentless. The frontlines keep moving west. Here is a quick video.
There is a sort of consensus that the Russians are planning a major 'Spring Offensive'. Although the exact dates are not known it is expected to happen by May 2025.
President Putin himself has said that there will be a major Spring Offensive which will put an end to the war. Will the Russians take Kiev as well?
In the meantime there has been good progress in the ceasefire negotiations in Saudi Arabia but only between Russia and the United States. The Ukraine, Britain and France are not agreeable to the ceasefire negotiations. N'theless the US and Russia are unfazed. They are moving ahead with negotiating the ceasefire even without Ukraine's agreement.
The British are going all out to sabotage the negotiations as much as they can. Within days after both Russia and the US announced their agreement to a ceasefire against all energy infrastructure (on both sides) the Ukrainians fired missiles at a gas pumping and metering station deep inside Russia. The French satellites provided the targetting coordinates while the British were closely involved on the ground in planning the strike.
So far the Russians have not retaliated by targetting any energy infrastructure inside Ukraine. Mr Putin has thus gained major brownie points with Donald Trump. The outcome of this war in Ukraine is going to see the United States and Russia emerging as friends and allies.
And there is likely going to be a serious split between the US and the UK. The European Union is split over whether they should support Britain and France who want to put European boots on the ground inside Ukraine. If the Americans make a statement that they will not get involved if there is shooting between European and Russian forces not only will it spell the end of NATO but the British risk having their entire 24 ship Navy sunk by the Russians. Including the Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales.
The British are not flying joint missions with the US anymore against the Houthis in Yemen. The recent spate of air strikes against the Houthis in Yemen have been an American operation.
Mr Putin's Spring Offensive will change the equation in Europe.
The views expressed are those of the writer and do not necessarily reflect those of MMKtT.
By Syed Akbar Ali
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