Tanjung Piai By Election A Loss For Pakatan
It’s the type of constituency whose racial composition was favoured/loved by Mahathir in his earlier reign (1981 to 2003), where if Malay voters split their support between PAS and UMNO, Mahathir would frighten the sh*t out of the ‘unwitting kingmaker’ Chinese into voting for his previous far more racist (than PAS) party, UMNO.
Ktemoc Konsiders
Al Fatihah Allahyarham Md Farid Md Rafik.
Also, deepest condolences to his family.
His sudden demise has brought about a by-election for the Tanjung Piai federal constituency in Johor. The late Md Farid won the Tanjung Piai seat at the last general election (05 May 2018), defeating Wee Jeck Seng of MCA with just a majority of 524 votes in a 53,528 strong electorate
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
∆%
PH
Md Farid Md Rafik
21,255
47.29
+ 47.29
BN
Wee Jeck Seng
20,731
46.12
– 10.00
PAS
Nordin Othman
2,962
6.59
+ 6.59
Total valid votes
44,948
100.00
Total rejected ballots
841
Unreturned ballots
69
Turnout
45,858
85.67
Registered electors
53,528
Majority
524
1.17
But if we consider the combined votes for BN and PAS against Pakatan, PH would have lost to BN-PAS by a majority of 2438. T’was the wrong strategy by BN and PAS to split their votes in GE14.
Indeed, if we examined the election prior to 2018, namely, 2013 (see following table), we’d see BN had then won with a majority of 5457. In 2013 GE MCA’s Wee Jeck Seng secured 56.12% of the ‘turnout’ votes or 25038 votes to win
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
∆%
BN
Wee Jeck Seng
25,038
56.12
– 11.95
DAP
Mahdzir Ibrahim
19,581
43.88
+ 11.95
Total valid votes
44,619
100.00
Total rejected ballots
918
Unreturned ballots
85
Turnout
45,622
87.95
Registered electors
51,875
Majority
5,457
12.24
Traditionally, prior to 2018, the federal seat was seen a combat arena between MCA and DAP, with MCA winning in the 11th, 12th and 13th GE’s.
However, in the 14th GE in 2018, the DAP gave way in Tanjung Piai to Mahathir’s Parti Pribumi. The late Md Farid surprisingly won, though by then the overall political tide had already changed in Pakatan’s favour.
With the plummeting popularity of PH since its rule for more than a year, will PH be able to win Tanjung Piai again, more so when PAS and UMNO have recently vowed to haap-chiok (cooperate)?
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