Umno Pn Divorce Is No Longer If But When


 
Playing with numbers on paper may make it appear like it is workable. But theory is one thing. Put into practice, we need to take into consideration the human factor, which is the egos of the many personalities involved. After all, the Umno-Bersatu conflict is all about egos anyway. Hence this will also be a stumbling block for any post-Muhyiddin or post-GE15 agreement, whether it is a vote of no confidence or a snap GE15.NO HOLDS BARRED
Raja Petra Kamarudin
Umno Supreme Council member Mohd Puad Zarkashi said Umno will undoubtedly leave Perikatan Nasional, and it is only a matter of when that is going to happen. This will most likely happen once Parliament has been dissolved to make way for a snap general election or GE15. Until then, Umno will remain in Perikatan to play the role of thorn in the side or duri dalam daging.
Umno is trying to push for Parliament to be reconvened so that a vote of no confidence can be passed against Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin. If Umno unites with Pakatan Harapan, they can most likely get 120-125 votes, enough to pass the vote of no confidence — as they need only 111 out of 220 votes to win a simple majority to oust Muhyiddin.
The only snag is, Umno will have to agree for Anwar Ibrahim to become the Prime Minister or PM9 if Muhyiddin is successfully ousted. But then, would replacing Muhyiddin with Anwar merely be a case of out of the frying pan and into the fire? Muhyiddin may be bad, according to Umno’s reckoning, but Anwar may be far worse.
Anwar cannot survive without DAP and DAP’s proxy, Parti Amanah. Just PKR and Umno minus DAP and Amanah is not enough to hold on to power. However, as Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad confessed, he faced a lot of problems with DAP in the 22 months Pakatan Harapan was in power.
Just Lim Guan Eng and Tommy Thomas alone gave Mahathir a headache. Eventually, Mahathir decided not to retire and hand power to Anwar in May 2020 after all because he felt DAP was out of control and once Anwar took over all hell would break loose.
Umno and Pakatan Harapan may be united in wanting Muhyiddin out. But can Umno and Pakatan Harapan mutually agree on Anwar as PM9? Umno is being very vague about the matter. They have only agreed to work with Pakatan Harapan to oust Muhyiddin, but they have thus far not given their commitment as to whether they will agree to Anwar taking over as PM9.
Umno will want an Umno candidate as PM9 if they work with Pakatan Harapan to oust Muhyiddin. Pakatan Harapan, however will never agree to that. They will insist on Anwar as the candidate for Prime Minister. And if the Prime Minister comes from Pakatan Harapan, will Umno be treated any better than how it is being treated now?
However, if Pakatan Harapan agrees to Umno’s demand that the Prime Minister comes from Umno, who from Umno will be the Prime Minister? Currently, there are more than half a dozen camps in Umno, so it may be impossible for the many factions to agree on a mutual candidate.
The issue of ousting Muhyiddin is one issue, and not really the most difficult issue. What is more complex would be the question of what will happen post-Muhyiddin. If Muhyiddin is kicked out, who takes control after that? This would be like what happened after the Russians were kicked out of Afghanistan. The Taliban just ended up killing one another.
Umno has taken its quarrel with Bersatu beyond the point of no certain. So much has been said, which would now be impossible to take back. Umno cannot now U-turn and kiss and make up with Bersatu. To do so would be a serious loss of face for Umno after what it has said about Muhyiddin and Bersatu.
According to Lokman Noor Adam, a Najib Tun Razak hardcore supporter, Barisan Nasional would be contesting all 222 parliament seats in the coming general election. That would mean Umno would be taking the lion’s share of the seats, probably 140 or so. If that is true, that would mean Barisan Nasional would be engaged in three-corner (or more) contests with Pakatan Harapan and Perikatan Nasional.
That may result in a hung parliament with no one controlling more than 112 seats. And that would mean as soon as the election results are known the three coalitions would be engaged in heavy horse-trading to agree on a ‘partnership’ to form the new government. And Malaysia would be back to square one: a coalition of enemies getting together merely to form the government but with no love for one another.
Playing with numbers on paper may make it appear like it is workable. But theory is one thing. Put into practice, we need to take into consideration the human factor, which is the egos of the many personalities involved. After all, the Umno-Bersatu conflict is all about egos anyway. Hence this will also be a stumbling block for any post-Muhyiddin or post-GE15 agreement, whether it is a vote of no confidence or a snap GE15.


Artikel ini hanyalah simpanan cache dari url asal penulis yang berkebarangkalian sudah terlalu lama atau sudah dibuang :

http://malaysiansmustknowthetruth.blogspot.com/2021/02/umno-pn-divorce-is-no-longer-if-but-when.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MalaysiansMustKnowTheTruth+%28Malaysians

Kempen Promosi dan Iklan
Kami memerlukan jasa baik anda untuk menyokong kempen pengiklanan dalam website kami. Serba sedikit anda telah membantu kami untuk mengekalkan servis percuma aggregating ini kepada semua.

Anda juga boleh memberikan sumbangan anda kepada kami dengan menghubungi kami di sini
Dr Mahathir May Apply To Re Join Umno But In No Position To Set Conditions

Dr Mahathir May Apply To Re Join Umno But In No Position To Set Conditions

papar berkaitan - pada 20/2/2021 - jumlah : 74 hits
This file pic dated Oct 3 2015 shows Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad giving a talk during a gathering at Hotel De Palma Kuala Lumpur NSTP Asyraf HamzahKUALA LUMPUR Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad is welcome to submit an application to re join Umno if he so...
Umno S Decision To Divorce Perikatan Nasional

Umno S Decision To Divorce Perikatan Nasional

papar berkaitan - pada 21/2/2021 - jumlah : 85 hits
Umno believes it was the Malays not the Chinese who ousted Umno Barisan Nasional in GE14 And Umno also believes the Malays regret voting for Pakatan Harapan and will never do that again And Umno further believes the Malays will return to Um...
Umno No Longer A Major Force In Politics Rubbish Say Analysts

Umno No Longer A Major Force In Politics Rubbish Say Analysts

papar berkaitan - pada 25/2/2021 - jumlah : 46 hits
PETALING JAYA Political analysts have dismissed a PPBM leader s remark that Umno is no longer a major force in politics Universiti Malaya socio political analyst Awang Azman Awang Pawi said though there might be divisions within Umno s lead...
Umno Disagrees With Action Against Malaysiakini Kepala B P K Awak Lah H R M J D H

Umno Disagrees With Action Against Malaysiakini Kepala B P K Awak Lah H R M J D H

papar berkaitan - pada 20/2/2021 - jumlah : 90 hits
based on Section 114A of the Evidence Act 1950 passed in 2012 when Najib was prime ministpublication can be held liableHere is some very funny news Several Umno leaders expressed concern Malaysiakini fined RM500 000 Umno Supreme Council wor...
Masih Sayang Umno Tapi Pernah Suruh Bubar Mahathir Hilang Hala Tuju Politik Zahid

Masih Sayang Umno Tapi Pernah Suruh Bubar Mahathir Hilang Hala Tuju Politik Zahid

papar berkaitan - pada 20/2/2021 - jumlah : 63 hits
Pengerusi Barisan Nasional Dato Seri Dr Ahmad Zahid Hamidi menyifatkan Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad ketika ini diibarat seperti hilang hala tuju dalam berpolitik Menurut beliau ini kerana ahli Parlimen Langkawi itu memberikan kenyataan bahawa di...
Umno Tolak Tpm Tidak Akan Kerjasama Dengan Pn Dalam Pru 15

Umno Tolak Tpm Tidak Akan Kerjasama Dengan Pn Dalam Pru 15

papar berkaitan - pada 20/2/2021 - jumlah : 62 hits
BORHAN AHMADMesyuarat Biro Politik Umno petang semalam memutuskan untuk menolak tawaran jawatan Timbalan Perdana Menteri yang dibuat oleh Bersatu kata sumber Namun begitu Umno akan kekal dalam kerajaan Perikatan Nasional sehingga pilihan ra...
Najib Tun Mahathir Boleh Sertai Semula Parti Umno Tapi Jangan Kenakan Sebarang Syarat

Najib Tun Mahathir Boleh Sertai Semula Parti Umno Tapi Jangan Kenakan Sebarang Syarat

papar berkaitan - pada 20/2/2021 - jumlah : 80 hits
KUALA LUMPUR Mana mana individu yang telah keluar UMNO boleh diterima semula UMNO tetapi tidak boleh mengenakan sebarang syarat termasuk Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad Itu kata Pengerusi Lembaga Penasihat Barisan Nasional yang juga bekas Presiden ...
Umno Dan Bersatu Mula Perang Di Johor

Umno Dan Bersatu Mula Perang Di Johor

papar berkaitan - pada 20/2/2021 - jumlah : 107 hits
HARUN ZAKARIA Umno seperti gunting dalam lipatan Osman SapianWah semakin panas bila Osman Sapian yang merupakan bekas MB Johor mulai bersuara persoal keikhlasan Umno melalui kenyataannya hari ini terhadap Pengerusi Umno dan juga MB Johor Ha...
Baru 2 Tahun 9 Bulan Moleiq Berjaya Solat Penuh Terawih Berpuasa Netizen Kagum Dengan Didikan Jozlyn

Apa Guna Darurat Tiada Perubahan Dilakukan

Lirik Puzzle Of Life Yessy Diana Feat Made Sabda

Chicken Price Fixed At Rm7 90 For Raya Season

Mediation Fails In Waytha Moorthy S Defamation Suit Against Ibrahim Ali

Tablet Kunyah Vitamin Shinjumi Bita V9 Untuk Kecantikan Kulit

Mgc Grateful To Govt For Rm4 Million For Sikh Community

Drama Thriller Malapetaka Dek Penyakit Berjangkit Park Hyungsik Han Hyojoo Dilamar Terajui Happiness



Bagaimanakah Bhutan Berjaya Memvaksin 93 Populasi Dewasa Dalam 2 Minggu

5 Jenayah Yang Lahir Disebabkan Program Vaksinasi Covid 19

Lina Medina Ibu Paling Muda Dalam Dunia

Bateri Berlian Dari Sisa Radioaktif Ini Mampu Bertahan 28 Ribu Tahun

Info Dan Sinopsis Drama Berepisod Ramadani TV3


Kini Popular Bell Ngasri Jadi Ikon Muka Orang Tak Puasa

Morning At Tanjung Lumpur

Resepi Mash Potato

E Resouces Recommended For Obstetrics

Wanita Diganggu Saka Ketika Berpantang

Lirik Lenggang Khodi